Name: 如何与经济末日论共存
Uploaded: 2024-03-28T14:56:10Z
Duration: 10 min 2 s
Description: 经济危机可能发生，也确实发生了。然而经济学家菲利普·卡尔森·斯莱扎克（Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak）说，每一场真正的危机都伴随着许多虚假警报。他解释了如何与大肆宣扬的经济末日论共存，解释了为什么不该再把金融预测看作一门精确的科学，以及做为替代，我们应该拥抱什么。

经济危机可能发生，也确实发生了。然而经济学家菲利普·卡尔森·斯莱扎克（Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak）说，每一场真正的危机都伴随着许多虚假警报。他解释了如何与大肆宣扬的经济末日论共存，解释了为什么不该再把金融预测看作一门精确的科学，以及做为替代，我们应该拥抱什么。

如何与经济末日论共存

Public conversations about the economy often exaggerate crisis, but many predicted catastrophes simply never materialize. In 2020, headlines warned of a downturn worse than 2008 or even the Great Depression, yet recovery was rapid and strong. Overreliance on economic models and constant negative news cycles leave businesses and individuals vulnerable to unnecessary fear and costly decisions. Embracing rational optimism and accepting uncertainty helps people navigate real risks without falling for false alarms.

Why Economic Doom Headlines Rarely Match Reality

*Shocks, Crises, and False Alarms: How to Assess True Macroeconomic Risk*

economics

finance

business

global issues

media

journalism

money

TED Institute Talk

菲利普·卡尔森·斯莱扎克: 如何与经济末日论共存