2007〜2008年の経済危機は、予測不可能で一度限りのものだと思いませんでしたか？ディディエ・ソネット氏と彼の率いるFinancial Crisis Observatory（経済危機観測所）は、不安定な成長システムに対して一連の初期兆候を分析し、バブルの弾けそうな瞬間を追跡してきました。（まさに今、また起ころうとしています）

経済危機を予測するには

Financial disasters like the Great Recession are not random shocks but the result of growing instabilities, often visible long before collapse. Massive losses, such as $30 trillion wiped from global stock markets in 2008, tend to follow a pattern of bubbles growing faster and faster until they burst. By detecting signs of unsustainable, super-exponential growth—what some call 'dragon-kings'—we can spot early warnings of trouble before catastrophe strikes. This pattern is seen not only in finance, but also in biology and the environment, giving hope that with vigilance and the right tools, future crises can be averted.

Most Financial Crises Can Be Predicted—And Prevented

What will upend the economy next?

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