Name: Dan Gilbert談我們對期望的誤解
Uploaded: 2008-12-16T07:32:00Z
Duration: 33 min 18 s
Description: Dan Gilbert展示了他探索幸福的研究資料——分享一些大家可以自行嘗試的令人驚訝的測試和實驗。注意本片末段一些TED常客與他進行的問答交流時所碰撞出的火花。

Dan Gilbert展示了他探索幸福的研究資料——分享一些大家可以自行嘗試的令人驚訝的測試和實驗。注意本片末段一些TED常客與他進行的問答交流時所碰撞出的火花。

Dan Gilbert談我們對期望的誤解

Human brains are wired to make systematic errors when judging both probabilities and value, leading to irrational decisions in everyday life. People overestimate risks that grab attention, like tornadoes and terrorism, and undervalue common dangers such as drowning or asthma. Even when a centuries-old formula promises rational decisions, our instincts still steer us astray—whether we’re buying lottery tickets, choosing jobs, or planning for the future. These mental shortcuts persist because our minds evolved for a world of simple choices and immediate needs, not today’s complex society.