班斯納奈伊: 「歷史終止」錯覺

「歷史終止」錯覺

我們再三未能預測到現今的科技在未來會改變。近期的研究發現，在我們個人的生活中也有類似的模式：我們無法預測我們自己的改變。但假設我們將來的樣子就是我們現在的樣子，會有什麼不好嗎？班斯納奈伊細節說明了把自己視為成品的後果。

完整課程：https://ed.ted.com/lessons/the-end-of-history-illusion-bence-nanay
課程：班斯納奈伊
導演：Stretch Films Inc.

People tend to believe their current personalities, values, and preferences will remain stable, despite strong evidence to the contrary. In a study of over 7,000 people ages 18 to 68, every age group underestimated how much they would change in the coming decade. For example, 30-year-olds thought they'd keep the same tastes and friendships into their forties, but those in their forties reported otherwise. This tendency to see ourselves as finished products shapes major life decisions and can lead to overcommitment based on present desires.