アレックス・ジェンドラー: 論理的な錯覚を見破れる？― アレックス・ジェンドラー

論理的な錯覚を見破れる？― アレックス・ジェンドラー

People consistently fall for the conjunction fallacy, choosing detailed narratives over simpler, more likely possibilities. In one study, up to 80 percent of participants wrongly judged a double condition as more likely than a single one. Extra details, like Lucy playing poker, make stories feel truer, even when statistics prove otherwise. This mental shortcut can lead even experts astray and fuels the credibility of elaborate conspiracy theories.

Our Minds Favor Plausible Stories Over Probable Truths

TED-Ed

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TED-Ed Original